One factor to look at: BHP chief govt Mike Henry met authorities officers in South Africa final week, fuelling speculation that the Australian miner will resurrect its failed £39bn bid for Johannesburg-based rival Anglo American.
And an enormous potential tech tie-up: Uber has explored a doable bid for Expedia, the almost $20bn US journey reserving web site, in what could be the ride-hailing firm’s largest acquisition by far because it seems to be to diversify additional and discover new avenues for progress.
Welcome to Due Diligence, your briefing on dealmaking, personal fairness and company finance. This text is an on-site model of the e-newsletter. Premium subscribers can join here to get the e-newsletter delivered each Tuesday to Friday. Commonplace subscribers can improve to Premium here, or explore all FT newsletters. Get in contact with us anytime: Due.Diligence@ft.com
In as we speak’s e-newsletter:
-
Elliott makes use of podcast to agitate at Southwest Airways
-
Personal fairness secondary offers surge
-
The within story at battery start-up Northvolt
Even Elliott’s activist marketing campaign has a podcast
“I’m going to take you thru one thing we’ve by no means achieved earlier than. We’re making a podcast.”
For months, activist hedge fund Elliott Administration has known as for Southwest Airways chief govt Bob Jordan to resign in a gentle drumbeat of press releases, slide displays and updates to its web site, StrongerSouthwest.com.
Now, in a transfer DD believes is as cringeworthy as Kamala Harris contemplating showing on Joe Rogan, Elliott has added the Stronger Southwest podcast to its arsenal.
A member of the Elliott engagement and funding stewardship workforce — a gaggle expert in utilizing the allure offensive for index funds corresponding to Vanguard, BlackRock and State Road — interviewed certainly one of Elliott’s handpicked administrators in a slick, extremely produced 20-minute episode.
However Elliott’s Bri Scholtz may use some work avoiding analyst communicate. (Interviewee and board candidate Gregg Saretsky was requested to “double click on” on his time spent as CEO of airline WestJet.)
Saretsky struck a soft chord when requested what Southwest workers tuning in ought to take away from the pod.
“It’s a message of hope,” he stated. “Workers are going to be sceptical, possibly even fearful or have some nervousness. And my recommendation to them was, simply maintain an open thoughts and go alongside for the journey.”
That’s in sharp distinction to the venom portfolio managers John Pike and Bobby Xu have saved for his or her letters. The corporate’s course is “being charted in a haphazard manner by a gaggle of executives in full self-preservation mode”, the 2 wrote in September.
Elliott has made it clear it’s on observe for its first proxy struggle since 2017. Meaning a full-blown battle for management of the corporate’s board — and the chief govt position.
We’ll want to attend for one more episode to see the place it stacks up towards the podcasts of Apollo’s chief economist (The View from Apollo) and the attorneys at Sullivan & Cromwell (S&C Essential Insights).
Listeners will be capable of observe the newest undulations of the Elliott marketing campaign on Spotify, Apple and wherever else you get your podcasts.
Personal fairness checks out of Lodge California
The $4tn personal fairness sector has set itself aside lately for its asset-gathering capacity — its funding efficiency, not a lot.
As world inventory markets hit document highs, the standard PE fund has hobbled alongside since early 2022. The surge in rates of interest seized up deal markets whereas pummelling leveraged steadiness sheets.
Fortunately for PE traders, the trade has discovered new methods to money out traders who’re on the lookout for exits.
So-called secondary offers, during which traders in personal fairness funds promote their stakes to new traders for money, or a PE agency arranges the sale of an organization stake to a brand new fund, are anticipated to smash all-time records.
Matt Swain, an govt at funding financial institution Houlihan Lokey, predicts a record-breaking $150bn of gross sales — a rise of greater than 25 per cent from 2023, which shatters a earlier document of $132bn in offers in 2021.
The deal bonanza is being backed by a bunch of secondary consumers together with Ardian, Hamilton Lane, StepStone Group and Lexington Companions.
Predominant line personal capital giants are additionally getting in on the act. Blackstone, Apollo and KKR are among the many teams which are elevating cash for secondary offers utilizing autos concentrating on wealthy people, or so-called “retail” traders.
Many of those funds can e book fast features shopping for PE fund stakes at a reduction and marking them to par worth, a GAAP accounting conference that may assist them set up a strong early observe document.
Gross sales of PE stakes, which 18 months in the past fetched 80 cents on the greenback or much less, in line with folks aware of the gross sales, are actually between 93 cents and 98 cents, in line with PJT Companions.
“Provide is at an all-time excessive, however pricing is at a number of the highest ranges it has been throughout the board. There may be extra capital coming into the market,” stated Darren Schluter, a managing director who handles secondary offers at PJT.
What’s gone unsuitable with Europe’s best-funded start-up?
Northvolt, the Swedish battery maker, is combating for its life regardless of having raised about $15bn in debt and fairness from the likes of Goldman Sachs, Volkswagen, Citigroup, BNP Paribas and Deutsche Financial institution.
So what went unsuitable? The FT’s Richard Milne, Jamie John and Mari Novik spoke to 10 current and former workers at the company meant to be Europe’s nice hope in combating again towards the Chinese language teams that dominate the battery trade.
The reply: loads. Mismanagement, poor security requirements and problematic Chinese language equipment are simply a number of the issues they stated had been dogging the corporate.
A few of these are typical troubles for a start-up. However Northvolt is a unique beast from many younger corporations in tech which are run on a bootstrap.
Whilst the corporate grew at a blistering tempo, manufacturing couldn’t sustain.
It spent closely on gear, however has produced comparatively few batteries, final yr making lower than 1 per cent of the capability of its sole manufacturing facility in Skellefteå in northern Sweden.
For all the cash it has raised — together with $3.8bn in subsidies from Canada and Germany for factories but to be constructed — Northvolt wants contemporary capital to maintain working. It initially tried to lift about $7bn in a mix of fairness and debt this yr however has now scaled again its demand reportedly to only $200mn.
Northvolt stated it had “all the time underlined that increase a European battery cell panorama is likely one of the most advanced duties in trade as we speak”. It stated a latest strategic overview would “additional enhance give attention to cell manufacturing”, and it had strengthened its administration workforce.
“We clearly see constructive developments, and can proceed to enhance,” it added. The group additionally stated it “has to satisfy highest security requirements by legislation”.
Executives promote the corporate as important if Europe needs to maintain essential auto know-how on the continent moderately than changing into extra depending on China.
However traders have to resolve whether or not to danger pouring extra money into an organization the place employees describe a litany of issues.
Main European corporations concerned within the inexperienced transition will likely be wanting on anxiously to see the way it all pans out.
Job strikes
-
Goldman Sachs’ chief govt for Saudi Arabia, Khalid Albdah, is leaving the firm, Bloomberg stories. He beforehand labored at Al Rajhi Capital.
-
IBM has employed Neil Dhar, the previous co-head of PwC’s US consulting enterprise, as world managing associate of IBM Consulting. Dhar retired earlier this month after greater than three many years advising purchasers, together with personal fairness companies, corresponding to Blackstone.
-
Boutique funding financial institution LionTree has employed Ankur Luther as a managing director to give attention to tech, leisure and media. He beforehand labored at Morgan Stanley.
-
Skadden has employed Luke Ferrandino as chief enterprise improvement and advertising and marketing officer. He beforehand held an analogous place at Paul Weiss.
Sensible reads
Harvard guru Wealthy mother and father pays virtually something to get their children into an Ivy League faculty, The Wall Road Journal writes. A 29-year-old claims to have cracked the code to entering into the colleges — and has made a $554mn firm within the course of.
Rein it in Saudi Arabia has spent lavishly on a grand imaginative and prescient to modernise the dominion with infrastructure tasks all through the nation, the FT stories. However now, there is likely to be a need for prudence.
Suggestions pitfalls The 360-degree efficiency overview is a trademark on Wall Road this time of yr, FT Alphaville writes. It’s additionally simply gamed and frequently undermined.
Information round-up
Advent International prepares takeover bid for Tate & Lyle (FT)
Wall Street banks enjoy bumper fees as debt issuance and deals activity rebound (FT)
BHP chief sparks fresh Anglo bid speculation after South Africa trip (FT)
Starmer and Reeves face down cabinet revolt over spending cuts (FT)
Amazon buys stake in nuclear energy developer in push to power data centres (FT)
GM raises investment in lithium mine to nearly $1bn (FT)
London Underground workers to strike over pay (FT)
Due Diligence is written by Arash Massoudi, Ivan Levingston, Ortenca Aliaj, and Robert Smith in London, James Fontanella-Khan, Sujeet Indap, Eric Platt, Antoine Gara, Amelia Pollard and Maria Heeter in New York, Kaye Wiggins in Hong Kong, George Hammond and Tabby Kinder in San Francisco, and Javier Espinoza in Brussels. Please ship suggestions to due.diligence@ft.com